Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 108.539310 119.975633 131.697152 144.582849 158.324047 172.513426 188.247012
2025-05-18 83.791405 100.073118 117.629878 137.852157 160.384644 184.606909 212.499695
2025-05-25 67.373667 86.649450 108.445334 134.625179 164.926020 198.614850 238.617950
2025-06-01 56.231230 77.538979 102.709364 134.089333 171.615525 214.528267 266.774622
2025-06-08 48.376791 71.195763 99.252052 135.402702 179.867931 231.932529 296.639767
2025-06-15 43.790098 68.251474 99.386713 140.632318 192.549465 254.506545 332.771847
2025-06-22 38.793004 64.094600 97.432561 142.803556 201.183188 272.103064 363.044951
2025-06-29 33.949308 59.528458 94.419784 143.171093 207.232516 286.366985 389.264694
2025-07-06 30.211323 56.064573 92.492580 144.629894 214.443410 301.965757 417.159486
2025-07-13 28.055692 54.670870 93.218145 149.500167 226.030365 323.120014 452.147387
2025-07-20 25.597269 52.513059 92.623321 152.386511 234.909402 340.839515 482.955991
2025-07-27 23.756990 51.117890 92.966901 156.462679 245.337545 360.598071 516.506213
2025-08-03 21.638304 49.096327 92.309151 159.165600 254.100019 378.551361 548.334726
2025-08-10 17.750465 43.551469 85.864571 153.154186 250.626939 380.301146 559.267785
2025-08-17 15.034450 39.711540 81.747171 150.264000 251.269504 387.370881 577.082231
2025-08-24 13.148654 37.162075 79.484730 149.975116 255.470759 399.176104 601.171423
2025-08-31 11.798272 35.476674 78.504157 151.540112 262.282903 414.546975 630.101961
2025-09-07 11.245346 35.372356 80.184015 157.268942 275.217057 438.432125 670.620212
2025-09-14 10.236385 34.139343 79.792862 159.653179 283.236069 455.609441 702.300389
2025-09-21 9.058947 32.340580 78.246951 160.068926 288.277154 468.661065 728.506058
2025-09-28 8.154497 31.028856 77.470547 161.654971 295.036126 484.139606 758.106876
2025-10-05 7.767268 30.926054 78.915753 166.921524 307.414407 507.634454 798.825726
2025-10-12 7.168163 30.188757 79.094877 170.040506 316.538694 526.600717 833.495490